TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082923
Played Sep 6Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
2111214511––––
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 25–25 Radovan Polasek Dead even across their 50 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wawrosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-25 in 50
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1820 vs Polasek 1824
Polasek
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 60% vs Polasek 40%
Wawrosz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 60% vs Polasek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz +1 · Polasek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 1.80 / Polasek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Polasek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082923
Wawrosz1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 150 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it73% 100 of 138
Polasek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 174 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back30% 51 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz6wins
AwayPolasek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz100%6 of 6
AwayPolasek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz6Polasek4n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S2Wawrosz5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Wawrosz4Polasek6n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S4Wawrosz4Polasek3n = 7Wawrosz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszPolasekW − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.634.0−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 398 vs 438 / 86150.8%50.9%202 / 398 vs 438 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekWawrosz 1.80/Polasek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:00P. Wawrosz—811541R. Polasek—11611113
WSep 2 · 07:30P. Wawrosz—11711113R. Polasek—611681
WAug 25 · 07:00P. Wawrosz—14118113R. Polasek—1251171
WAug 24 · 08:59P. Wawrosz—11611113R. Polasek—911991
LAug 24 · 07:00P. Wawrosz—811621R. Polasek—11611113
WAug 19 · 08:30P. Wawrosz—1111113R. Polasek—5590
WAug 17 · 12:00P. Wawrosz—11711113R. Polasek—611851
LAug 15 · 07:30P. Wawrosz—8660R. Polasek—1111113
WAug 8 · 21:30P. Wawrosz—111177113R. Polasek—59111172
LAug 8 · 19:00P. Wawrosz—9540R. Polasek—1111113
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113WSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113LSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113
R. Polasek10
LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123WSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880WSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113LSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191
Upcoming Matches
P. Wawrosz
R. Polasek
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