TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087559
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911119811118
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 58.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 2–2 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1843 vs Opanasiuk 1969
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 60% vs Opanasiuk 80%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 70% vs Opanasiuk 50%
Vavrecka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +2 · Opanasiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 2.25 / Opanasiuk 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087559
Vavrecka2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 177 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back27% 58 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 101
Opanasiuk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 83 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it69% 51 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVavrecka2wins
AwayOpanasiuk2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavreckan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayOpanasiuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka1Opanasiuk3n = 4Opanasiuk took 3 of 4
S2Vavrecka1Opanasiuk3n = 4Opanasiuk took 3 of 4
S3Vavrecka3Opanasiuk1n = 4Vavrecka took 3 of 4
S4Vavrecka2Opanasiuk1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricVavreckaOpanasiukV − OBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match42.539.2+3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime1012 / 2010 vs 137 / 25650.4%53.5%1012 / 2010 vs 137 / 256Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukVavrecka 2.25/Opanasiuk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 22 · 11:30M. Vavrecka—124111192D. Opanasiuk—141197113
WMay 17 · 20:59M. Vavrecka—71111113D. Opanasiuk—119671
LMay 17 · 20:30M. Vavrecka—1011100D. Opanasiuk—1213123
WApr 29 · 18:30M. Vavrecka—1110119113D. Opanasiuk—51241132
M. Vavrecka10
WSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113WSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050WSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142WSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113WAug 31 · 09:00M. Vavrecka1.8317911113T. Dousek1.831511741
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113WSep 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.8010111011113T. Dousek1.9112612892LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 24 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.44261191T. Zika2.6311118113
Upcoming Matches
M. Vavrecka
D. Opanasiuk
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