TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087366
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121161012118119
Tomas Dousek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 100 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 0–2 Tomas Dousek Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1963 vs Dousek 1794
Opanasiuk
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Dousek 40%
Opanasiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 50% vs Dousek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk -1 · Dousek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.80 / Dousek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087366
Opanasiuk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 83 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it69% 51 of 74
Dousek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 41 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk0wins
AwayDousek2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderDousek leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOpanasiukDousekO − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.546.0−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 255 vs 236 / 44753.3%52.8%136 / 255 vs 236 / 447Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.80/Dousek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 21 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk—63111162T. Dousek—111143113
LJun 21 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk—11158592T. Dousek—6131111113
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182LSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113WSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111WSep 6 · 18:00M. Biolek1.8371271122D. Opanasiuk1.831110115113WAug 24 · 20:58M. Biolek1.80111211101D. Opanasiuk1.9131413123LAug 24 · 20:00M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839480LAug 24 · 19:00O. Paril2.7511611173D. Opanasiuk1.408116151LAug 24 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.44261191T. Zika2.6311118113
T. Dousek10
WSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841WSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100WSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113
Upcoming Matches
D. Opanasiuk
Nothing scheduled
T. Dousek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.