TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087536
Played Sep 7Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117118118––
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Dousek at 58.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 8–7 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:15What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dousek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1812 vs Wawrosz 1784
Dousek
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 60% vs Wawrosz 40%
Dousek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 40% vs Wawrosz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek -1 · Wawrosz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dousek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.61 / Wawrosz 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Dousek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087536
Dousek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 117 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it75% 90 of 120
Wawrosz2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog49% won 54 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek5wins
AwayWawrosz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek42.9%3 of 7
AwayWawrosz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek7Wawrosz3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S2Dousek5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Dousek6Wawrosz4n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10
S4Dousek5Wawrosz3n = 8Dousek took 5 of 8
S5Dousek1Wawrosz4n = 5Wawrosz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekWawroszD − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.440.4+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 445 vs 204 / 40352.8%50.6%235 / 445 vs 204 / 403Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousekDousek 1.61/Wawrosz 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek—127921P. Wawrosz—101111113
LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek—11127982P. Wawrosz—4101111113
WAug 26 · 20:30T. Dousek—91211113P. Wawrosz—1110741
WAug 25 · 06:00T. Dousek—1214113P. Wawrosz—101270
LAug 24 · 06:00T. Dousek—51113982P. Wawrosz—1141111113
WAug 17 · 16:58T. Dousek—981111113P. Wawrosz—11114862
WAug 17 · 16:30T. Dousek—1111113P. Wawrosz—8750
LAug 8 · 17:00T. Dousek—139711112P. Wawrosz—1111116133
LAug 8 · 14:30T. Dousek—111291162P. Wawrosz—714119113
WJul 21 · 12:00T. Dousek—131111133P. Wawrosz—11136111
T. Dousek10
LSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100WSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113WSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113
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