TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076762
Played Sep 5Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11812141191113811
Tomas Dousek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 108 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Dousek at 62.5%
108 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 32–47 Tomas Dousek Tadeas Zika has won 32 of their 79 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Dousek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-47 in 79
Dousek
Correct
gap of 15 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1827 vs Dousek 1824
Zika
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 20% vs Dousek 0%
Zika
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 30% vs Dousek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -4 · Dousek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Dousek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 2.10 / Dousek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Dousek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076762
Zika2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 353 of 758
Down 0–1, comes back29% 111 of 390
Down 0–2, comes back8% 16 of 198
Dousek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 114 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it76% 88 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika5wins
AwayDousek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika100%3 of 3
AwayDousek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika3Dousek7n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S2Zika7Dousek3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S3Zika4Dousek6n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10
S4Zika3Dousek4n = 7Dousek took 4 of 7
S5Zika3Dousek2n = 5Zika took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaDousekZ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.639.9−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime787 / 1714 vs 232 / 43945.9%52.9%787 / 1714 vs 232 / 439Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousekZika 2.10/Dousek 1.67
Miss
What we said
56.2%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 11:30T. Zika—21111942T. Dousek—114511113
LSep 2 · 12:30T. Zika—911881T. Dousek—11611113
WSep 1 · 11:00T. Zika—1111118133T. Dousek—813811112
LAug 26 · 18:00T. Zika—11680T. Dousek—1311113
WAug 24 · 12:58T. Zika—5111111113T. Dousek—11713392
WAug 24 · 10:30T. Zika—1112113T. Dousek—81080
LAug 21 · 19:00T. Zika—71030T. Dousek—1112113
WAug 19 · 12:30T. Zika—711611113T. Dousek—11811892
WAug 17 · 15:00T. Zika—11117113T. Dousek—881151
LAug 13 · 11:00T. Zika—91111952T. Dousek—119811113
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113LSep 4 · 08:00R. Polasek1.9171114113T. Zika1.801161241LSep 4 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.83116118113T. Zika1.8351151142
T. Dousek10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123LSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Paril2.0061111123T. Dousek1.731176101
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