TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076332
Played Sep 5Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311811117118––
Ondrej Paril
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 75–88 Ondrej Paril Tadeas Zika has won 75 of their 163 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:28What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Paril
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-88 in 163
Paril
Wrong
gap of 13 in 163, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1855 vs Paril 1900
Paril
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 40% vs Paril 80%
Paril
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 40% vs Paril 60%
Paril
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika +1 · Paril +4
Paril
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Paril)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 1.83 / Paril 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Paril)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076332
Zika1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Paril1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika6wins
AwayParil4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika50%3 of 6
AwayParil25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika6Paril4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S2Zika6Paril4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S3Zika6Paril4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S4Zika4Paril4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaParilZ − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.535.6+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaParilBasisWin rate · lifetime784 / 1709 vs 499 / 95945.9%52%784 / 1709 vs 499 / 959Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilZika 1.83/Paril 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:30T. Zika—13911782O. Paril—1111311113
WSep 1 · 14:30T. Zika—81111113O. Paril—113631
WSep 1 · 13:28T. Zika—711511113O. Paril—11511982
WSep 1 · 12:30T. Zika—1111113O. Paril—9780
LAug 31 · 20:00T. Zika—6131021O. Paril—111112113
WAug 27 · 11:00T. Zika—1111113O. Paril—6870
LAug 26 · 20:00T. Zika—1378121O. Paril—111111143
LAug 26 · 08:58T. Zika—119981O. Paril—41111113
WAug 26 · 08:00T. Zika—111111133O. Paril—4137111
WAug 25 · 11:00T. Zika—71111123O. Paril—1175101
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113LSep 4 · 08:00R. Polasek1.9171114113T. Zika1.801161241LSep 4 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.83116118113T. Zika1.8351151142
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180WSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:30O. Paril2.0061111123T. Dousek1.731176101
Upcoming Matches
T. Zika
Nothing scheduled
O. Paril
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