TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086716
Played Sep 7Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511511––––
Matyas Navedla
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timePavel Wawrosz to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Matyas Navedla below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Pavel Wawrosz at 61.4%
51 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 22–12 Matyas Navedla Matyas Navedla has won 12 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wawrosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-12 in 34
Wawrosz
Wrong
gap of 10 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1824 vs Navedla 1723
Wawrosz
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 60% vs Navedla 40%
Wawrosz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 70% vs Navedla 20%
Wawrosz
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz +2 · Navedla +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wawrosz) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 1.73 / Navedla 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Wawrosz)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086716
Wawrosz1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 150 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it73% 100 of 138
Navedla2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 139 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back25% 42 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back13% 10 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz6wins
AwayNavedla4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz75%3 of 4
AwayNavedla50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S2Wawrosz4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S3Wawrosz6Navedla4n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S4Wawrosz5Navedla4n = 9Wawrosz took 5 of 9
S5Wawrosz3Navedla1n = 4Wawrosz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszNavedlaW − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.340.9+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 401 vs 356 / 74750.9%47.7%204 / 401 vs 356 / 747Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WawroszWawrosz 1.73/Navedla 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Wawrosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz—881111113M. Navedla—11117692
WSep 4 · 10:30P. Wawrosz—111164113M. Navedla—97111142
WAug 26 · 17:30P. Wawrosz—881111113M. Navedla—11112392
LAug 26 · 15:30P. Wawrosz—7850M. Navedla—1111113
LAug 24 · 08:30P. Wawrosz—1211111692M. Navedla—147818113
WAug 23 · 16:58P. Wawrosz—111011113M. Navedla—512981
LAug 23 · 15:30P. Wawrosz—1578171M. Navedla—131111193
WAug 12 · 16:59P. Wawrosz—111011113M. Navedla—812781
LAug 12 · 16:30P. Wawrosz—911481M. Navedla—11911113
WAug 11 · 13:30P. Wawrosz—41111123M. Navedla—1146101
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch1.8371113113P. Wawrosz1.831171161WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113
M. Navedla10
WSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171LSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142LSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192LSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151LSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120LSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica1.7311811113M. Navedla2.00711841LSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133LSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252
Upcoming Matches
P. Wawrosz
M. Navedla
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.