TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087429
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111171311116––
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Pilch to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Pilch at 59.4%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 5–2 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:05What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wawrosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Pilch
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1797 vs Wawrosz 1795
Pilch
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 40% vs Wawrosz 60%
Wawrosz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 60% vs Wawrosz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch -3 · Wawrosz -1
Pilch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pilch) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.83 / Wawrosz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pilch)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087429
Pilch1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Wawrosz1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePilch5wins
AwayWawrosz2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderPilch leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch75%3 of 4
AwayWawrosz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch4Wawrosz3n = 7Pilch took 4 of 7
S2Pilch4Wawrosz3n = 7Pilch took 4 of 7
S3Pilch3Wawrosz4n = 7Wawrosz took 4 of 7
S4Pilch4Wawrosz1n = 5Pilch took 4 of 5
S5Pilch2Wawrosz1n = 3Pilch took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricPilchWawroszP − WBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.338.4+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 425 vs 204 / 40250.6%50.8%215 / 425 vs 204 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchPilch 1.83/Wawrosz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 24 · 06:30J. Pilch—111111113P. Wawrosz—139981
LJul 21 · 13:00J. Pilch—9640P. Wawrosz—1111113
WJul 21 · 11:30J. Pilch—1111113P. Wawrosz—9980
WJul 15 · 12:30J. Pilch—111212113P. Wawrosz—6101431
WJun 17 · 07:30J. Pilch—961111113P. Wawrosz—11116662
LJun 15 · 10:00J. Pilch—11114932P. Wawrosz—781111113
WJun 15 · 06:30J. Pilch—129411113P. Wawrosz—101111992
J. Pilch10
LSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LAug 2 · 17:30M. Kratochvil2.2014411113J. Pilch1.611211621LAug 2 · 16:30M. Kratochvil2.00212411113J. Pilch1.73111011672WAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362WAug 2 · 14:30M. Szwarc1.8511790J. Pilch1.851311113WAug 2 · 13:30J. Pilch1.911311113O. Paril1.8011590LAug 2 · 12:30M. Szwarc2.001111113J. Pilch1.738880WAug 2 · 11:30J. Pilch2.381111113O. Paril1.537640WAug 2 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.8310580J. Pilch1.831211113WAug 1 · 17:08M. Szwarc1.80119351J. Pilch1.9121111113
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050LSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113WSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.7312711852P. Wawrosz2.001011211113
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