TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12345647
Played Aug 2Finished
Michal Kratochvil
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
2111210411116117
Jakub Pilch
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Kratochvil to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Kratochvil above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Michal Kratochvil at 58.6%
85 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kratochvil 9–5 Jakub Pilch Jakub Pilch has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:33What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pilch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Kratochvil
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1737 vs Pilch 1893
Pilch
Wrong
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 80% vs Pilch 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 70% vs Pilch 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil +3 · Pilch +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pilch) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 2.00 / Pilch 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pilch)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12345647
Kratochvil2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 71 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Pilch1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 73 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it70% 46 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKratochvil5wins
AwayPilch5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochviln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPilch62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil2Pilch8n = 10Pilch took 8 of 10
S2Kratochvil6Pilch4n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S3Kratochvil5Pilch5n = 10split evenly
S4Kratochvil1Pilch3n = 4Pilch took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKratochvilPilchK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.233.20.0per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 499 vs 248 / 48949.7%50.7%248 / 499 vs 248 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchKratochvil 2.00/Pilch 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 12 · 08:30M. Kratochvil—11660J. Pilch—1311113
LJul 11 · 14:00M. Kratochvil—8650J. Pilch—1111113
LJul 8 · 17:00M. Kratochvil—81260J. Pilch—1114113
WJul 8 · 16:00M. Kratochvil—6111110113J. Pilch—11981282
LNov 22 · 13:58M. Kratochvil—5690J. Pilch—1111113
LNov 22 · 13:30M. Kratochvil—711681J. Pilch—11711113
WNov 9 · 13:30M. Kratochvil—1111113J. Pilch—8750
WAug 31 · 18:30M. Kratochvil—8111116113J. Pilch—11671862
WAug 31 · 15:00M. Kratochvil—61111123J. Pilch—1133101
WAug 30 · 14:30M. Kratochvil—1111113J. Pilch—3540
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kratochvil3.00611718113E. Mares1.36119111662
J. Pilch10
WSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102LSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LAug 2 · 17:30M. Kratochvil2.2014411113J. Pilch1.611211621WAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362WAug 2 · 14:30M. Szwarc1.8511790J. Pilch1.851311113WAug 2 · 13:30J. Pilch1.911311113O. Paril1.8011590LAug 2 · 12:30M. Szwarc2.001111113J. Pilch1.738880WAug 2 · 11:30J. Pilch2.381111113O. Paril1.537640WAug 2 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.8310580J. Pilch1.831211113WAug 1 · 17:08M. Szwarc1.80119351J. Pilch1.9121111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kratochvil
Nothing scheduled
J. Pilch
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.