TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077414
Played Sep 4Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111171151012115
Matyas Navedla
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Matyas Navedla below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 8–18 Matyas Navedla Libor Prikasky has won 8 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Navedla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-18 in 26
Navedla
Wrong
gap of 10 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1783 vs Navedla 1716
Prikasky
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 40% vs Navedla 0%
Prikasky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 40% vs Navedla 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky -1 · Navedla -5
Navedla
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Navedla) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navedla form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 2.10 / Navedla 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Prikasky)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077414
Prikasky2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 78 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 59
Navedla1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 59 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it76% 42 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrikasky4wins
AwayNavedla6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNavedla leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikasky66.7%2 of 3
AwayNavedla71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky3Navedla7n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S2Prikasky4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S3Prikasky3Navedla7n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S4Prikasky3Navedla2n = 5Prikasky took 3 of 5
S5Prikasky2Navedla1n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrikaskyNavedlaP − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.336.0−3.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 437 vs 356 / 74356.1%47.9%245 / 437 vs 356 / 743Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NavedlaPrikasky 2.10/Navedla 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Navedla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky—511117113M. Navedla—11761162
LAug 26 · 14:30L. Prikasky—8690M. Navedla—1111113
WAug 26 · 12:58L. Prikasky—1111113M. Navedla—6860
LAug 26 · 11:30L. Prikasky—31060M. Navedla—1112113
WAug 10 · 07:00L. Prikasky—211811113M. Navedla—11511842
LJul 8 · 17:00L. Prikasky—86100M. Navedla—1111123
LJul 8 · 16:00L. Prikasky—114941M. Navedla—81111113
LJun 18 · 21:30L. Prikasky—7780M. Navedla—1111113
LJun 18 · 18:30L. Prikasky—93111252M. Navedla—1111910113
WJun 7 · 14:30L. Prikasky—111113113M. Navedla—541591
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113WSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
M. Navedla10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171LSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142LSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192LSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151LSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120LSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica1.7311811113M. Navedla2.00711841LSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133LSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111LSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
Upcoming Matches
L. Prikasky
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M. Navedla
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