TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071861
Played Sep 4Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111012311––––
Martin Skotnica
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Skotnica to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Martin Skotnica below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 51 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Martin Skotnica at 57.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 1–4 Martin Skotnica Libor Prikasky has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skotnica
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Skotnica
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1792 vs Skotnica 1866
Skotnica
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 60% vs Skotnica 100%
Skotnica
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 50% vs Skotnica 80%
Skotnica
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky +2 · Skotnica +5
Skotnica
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skotnica)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotnica form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 2.10 / Skotnica 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Skotnica)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071861
Prikasky2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 78 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 59
Skotnica1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 43 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it70% 33 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePrikasky1wins
AwaySkotnica4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSkotnica leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikaskyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkotnica100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky2Skotnica3n = 5Skotnica took 3 of 5
S2Prikasky2Skotnica3n = 5Skotnica took 3 of 5
S3Prikasky1Skotnica4n = 5Skotnica took 4 of 5
S4Prikasky2Skotnica2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricPrikaskySkotnicaP − SBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match34.640.4−5.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskySkotnicaBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 438 vs 119 / 21656.2%55.1%246 / 438 vs 119 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicaPrikasky 2.10/Skotnica 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Skotnica · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skotnica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 13 · 15:30L. Prikasky—711871M. Skotnica—11411113
WAug 5 · 17:30L. Prikasky—11117133M. Skotnica—8811111
LAug 5 · 16:00L. Prikasky—11970M. Skotnica—1311113
LJul 8 · 14:00L. Prikasky—113491M. Skotnica—91111113
LJun 18 · 16:30L. Prikasky—87111532M. Skotnica—1111413113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113WSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
M. Skotnica10
LSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120WSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142WSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191WSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WAug 13 · 17:30M. Skotnica1.631111113M. Grundel2.059790LAug 13 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.83511114102D. Tomica1.83117911123WAug 13 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.00711871M. Skotnica1.7311411113
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