TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12424740
Played Aug 13Finished
Martin Skotnica
Home
1.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117119––––
Matej Grundel
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:02 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Skotnica to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMartin Skotnica above · Matej Grundel below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Martin Skotnica at 63.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skotnica 17–11 Matej Grundel Matej Grundel has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Skotnica
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Skotnica
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotnica 1809 vs Grundel 1767
Skotnica
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotnica 60% vs Grundel 40%
Skotnica
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotnica 50% vs Grundel 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotnica -1 · Grundel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Skotnica)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotnica 1.63 / Grundel 2.05
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Skotnica)+8.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12424740
Skotnica1.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 60 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Grundel2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 32 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotnica4wins
AwayGrundel6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGrundel leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotnica50%2 of 4
AwayGrundel66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotnica4Grundel6n = 10Grundel took 6 of 10
S2Skotnica5Grundel5n = 10split evenly
S3Skotnica5Grundel5n = 10split evenly
S4Skotnica4Grundel4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicaGrundelS − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.838.3−1.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicaGrundelBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 210 vs 151 / 29053.8%52.1%113 / 210 vs 151 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicaSkotnica 1.63/Grundel 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Skotnica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skotnica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 14:00M. Skotnica—11713113M. Grundel—7111121
LAug 5 · 15:00M. Skotnica—10111091M. Grundel—12612113
LJul 30 · 14:00M. Skotnica—811971M. Grundel—11511113
LJul 8 · 17:30M. Skotnica—7660M. Grundel—1111113
LJul 8 · 16:30M. Skotnica—13211882M. Grundel—1111911113
WJun 29 · 17:30M. Skotnica—61111113M. Grundel—119991
WJun 29 · 14:30M. Skotnica—11811113M. Grundel—611891
LJun 24 · 15:00M. Skotnica—41180M. Grundel—1113113
WJun 18 · 17:30M. Skotnica—91113113M. Grundel—1141171
LJun 18 · 14:00M. Skotnica—11116872M. Grundel—771111113
M. Skotnica10
LSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120WSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142WSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191WSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862LAug 13 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.83511114102D. Tomica1.83117911123WAug 13 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.00711871M. Skotnica1.7311411113
M. Grundel10
LSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191LSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113WSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160WAug 27 · 17:28M. Grundel1.831111109113L. Prikasky1.8382121192LAug 27 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.83119811113M. Grundel1.8361111882WAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113WAug 27 · 14:30M. Grundel2.001111113L. Velebil1.737750WAug 26 · 17:03M. Grundel1.771011812113L. Prikasky1.95127111072WAug 26 · 16:59M. Grundel1.911011812113P. Libor1.80127111072
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