TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12414548
Played Aug 13Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711114811711––
Martin Skotnica
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Skotnica to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Martin Skotnica below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Martin Skotnica at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 1–3 Martin Skotnica Libor Prikasky has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:56What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skotnica
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Skotnica
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1812 vs Skotnica 1800
Prikasky
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 60% vs Skotnica 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 60% vs Skotnica 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky +1 · Skotnica +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skotnica)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 2.00 / Skotnica 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skotnica)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12414548
Prikasky2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 67 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Skotnica1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 60 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePrikasky1wins
AwaySkotnica3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSkotnica leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky2Skotnica2n = 4split evenly
S2Prikasky1Skotnica3n = 4Skotnica took 3 of 4
S3Prikasky1Skotnica3n = 4Skotnica took 3 of 4
S4Prikasky2Skotnica1n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricPrikaskySkotnicaP − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.041.2−6.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskySkotnicaBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 366 vs 112 / 20856.8%53.9%208 / 366 vs 112 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicaPrikasky 2.00/Skotnica 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skotnica · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skotnica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 5 · 17:30L. Prikasky—11117133M. Skotnica—8811111
LAug 5 · 16:00L. Prikasky—11970M. Skotnica—1311113
LJul 8 · 14:00L. Prikasky—113491M. Skotnica—91111113
LJun 18 · 16:30L. Prikasky—87111532M. Skotnica—1111413113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113
M. Skotnica10
LSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120WSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142WSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191WSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WAug 13 · 17:30M. Skotnica1.631111113M. Grundel2.059790LAug 13 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.83511114102D. Tomica1.83117911123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.