TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071509
Played Sep 4Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11161112104111113
Libor Prikasky
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeMatyas Navedla to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 90 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Matyas Navedla at 57.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 18–8 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 8 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:48What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Navedla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-8 in 26
Navedla
Wrong
gap of 10 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Navedla 1716 vs Prikasky 1783
Prikasky
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Navedla 0% vs Prikasky 40%
Prikasky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Navedla 20% vs Prikasky 40%
Prikasky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Navedla -5 · Prikasky +1
Navedla
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Navedla) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navedla form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 1.73 / Prikasky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prikasky)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071509
Navedla1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 59 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it76% 42 of 55
Prikasky2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 78 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla6wins
AwayPrikasky4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNavedla leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla71.4%5 of 7
AwayPrikasky66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla7Prikasky3n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S2Navedla6Prikasky4n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S3Navedla7Prikasky3n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S4Navedla2Prikasky3n = 5Prikasky took 3 of 5
S5Navedla1Prikasky2n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaPrikaskyN − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.032.3+3.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 743 vs 245 / 43747.9%56.1%356 / 743 vs 245 / 437Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NavedlaNavedla 1.73/Prikasky 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Navedla · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 11:00M. Navedla—11761162L. Prikasky—511117113
WAug 26 · 14:30M. Navedla—1111113L. Prikasky—8690
LAug 26 · 12:58M. Navedla—6860L. Prikasky—1111113
WAug 26 · 11:30M. Navedla—1112113L. Prikasky—31060
LAug 10 · 07:00M. Navedla—11511842L. Prikasky—211811113
WJul 8 · 17:00M. Navedla—1111123L. Prikasky—86100
WJul 8 · 16:00M. Navedla—81111113L. Prikasky—114941
WJun 18 · 21:30M. Navedla—1111113L. Prikasky—7780
WJun 18 · 18:30M. Navedla—1111910113L. Prikasky—93111252
LJun 7 · 14:30M. Navedla—541591L. Prikasky—111113113
M. Navedla10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171LSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142LSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692WSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192LSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151LSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120LSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica1.7311811113M. Navedla2.00711841LSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111LSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 13:00L. Prikasky2.109111110113M. Navedla1.6711751252LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky2.00771271P. Wawrosz1.73111110113WSep 4 · 11:00L. Prikasky2.25511117113M. Navedla1.5711761162
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