TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13031184
Played Aug 27Finished
Lukas Velebil
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161173111113311
Daniel Tomica
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Velebil above · Daniel Tomica below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 87 set 5, 3-11
87 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Velebil 3–4 Daniel Tomica Lukas Velebil has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Velebil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tomica form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelebil 1.60 / Tomica 2.15
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Velebil)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13031184
Velebil1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 22 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Tomica2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 24 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVelebil3wins
AwayTomica4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderTomica leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVelebil25%1 of 4
AwayTomica33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Velebil4Tomica3n = 7Velebil took 4 of 7
S2Velebil1Tomica6n = 7Tomica took 6 of 7
S3Velebil3Tomica4n = 7Tomica took 4 of 7
S4Velebil3Tomica3n = 6split evenly
S5Velebil2Tomica1n = 3Velebil took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricVelebilTomicaV − TBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.640.6−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelebilTomicaBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 78 vs 85 / 17953.9%47.5%42 / 78 vs 85 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VelebilVelebil 1.60/Tomica 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Velebil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tomica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 27 · 16:30L. Velebil—115931D. Tomica—61111113
LMay 21 · 17:30L. Velebil—5870D. Tomica—1111113
LMay 21 · 14:00L. Velebil—1110091D. Tomica—31211113
WMar 21 · 18:31L. Velebil—11911123D. Tomica—5119101
LMar 21 · 15:30L. Velebil—11118872D. Tomica—671111113
WFeb 12 · 18:26L. Velebil—1261111113D. Tomica—14118592
WFeb 12 · 16:00L. Velebil—571211113D. Tomica—111110962
L. Velebil10
WSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113LSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113LSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160WSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:00L. Kern2.2039100L. Velebil1.611111123WSep 1 · 15:00R. Urbaniec3.7541141192L. Velebil1.25118117113WSep 1 · 14:30L. Velebil1.7311911113F. Nadymacek2.00911881LAug 27 · 16:30D. Tomica2.2561111113L. Velebil1.57115931WAug 27 · 15:30L. Velebil1.911111113L. Prikasky1.804890
D. Tomica10
WSep 4 · 17:03D. Tomica1.8513118113M. Navedla1.851131151LSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113WSep 4 · 15:00D. Tomica1.7311811113M. Navedla2.00711841LSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142WAug 27 · 16:30D. Tomica2.2561111113L. Velebil1.57115931LAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113LAug 27 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.4491111113D. Tomica2.63118821WAug 22 · 12:58D. Tomica1.8319117113M. Vavrecka1.831751191WAug 22 · 12:00D. Tomica2.2011811173M. Vavrecka1.613119151LAug 22 · 11:30O. Paril1.571111113D. Tomica2.258490
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