TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13072492
Played Sep 3Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411511––––
Lukas Velebil
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Lukas Velebil below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 47 set 3, 5-11
47 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 1–4 Lukas Velebil Radim Urbaniec has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Velebil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Velebil form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.63 / Velebil 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Velebil)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13072492
Urbaniec2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 469
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 265
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 144
Velebil1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 26 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeUrbaniec1wins
AwayVelebil4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderVelebil leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVelebil75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec1Velebil4n = 5Velebil took 4 of 5
S2Urbaniec1Velebil4n = 5Velebil took 4 of 5
S3Urbaniec1Velebil4n = 5Velebil took 4 of 5
S4Urbaniec2Velebil1n = 3Urbaniec took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricUrbaniecVelebilU − VBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match31.240.2−9.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecVelebilBasisWin rate · lifetime606 / 1191 vs 46 / 8650.9%53.5%606 / 1191 vs 46 / 86Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VelebilUrbaniec 2.63/Velebil 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Velebil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Velebil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 3 · 16:30R. Urbaniec—891111123L. Velebil—111158102
LSep 1 · 15:00R. Urbaniec—41141192L. Velebil—118117113
LMar 25 · 22:00R. Urbaniec—113741L. Velebil—91111113
LMar 25 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—4870L. Velebil—1111113
LMar 18 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—7780L. Velebil—1111113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192LSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412
L. Velebil10
LSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113LSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160WSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:00L. Kern2.2039100L. Velebil1.611111123WSep 1 · 15:00R. Urbaniec3.7541141192L. Velebil1.25118117113WSep 1 · 14:30L. Velebil1.7311911113F. Nadymacek2.00911881LAug 27 · 17:01L. Velebil1.60111131132D. Tomica2.15671113113LAug 27 · 16:30D. Tomica2.2561111113L. Velebil1.57115931WAug 27 · 15:30L. Velebil1.911111113L. Prikasky1.804890
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