TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13055791
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Velebil
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911118118––
Frantisek Nadymacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Nadymacek to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Velebil above · Frantisek Nadymacek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Frantisek Nadymacek at 67.3%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Velebil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Velebil 1689 vs Nadymacek 1789
Nadymacek
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Velebil 20% vs Nadymacek 80%
Nadymacek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Velebil 40% vs Nadymacek 80%
Nadymacek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Velebil -2 · Nadymacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Velebil) · live re-read · sealed at 33% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadymacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelebil 1.73 / Nadymacek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Velebil)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13055791
Velebil1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 22 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Nadymacek2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelebilNadymacekBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 79 vs 30 / 4453.2%68.2%42 / 79 vs 30 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
VelebilVelebil 1.73/Nadymacek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Velebil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Velebil won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Velebil10
WSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113LSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113LSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160WSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:00L. Kern2.2039100L. Velebil1.611111123WSep 1 · 15:00R. Urbaniec3.7541141192L. Velebil1.25118117113LAug 27 · 17:01L. Velebil1.60111131132D. Tomica2.15671113113LAug 27 · 16:30D. Tomica2.2561111113L. Velebil1.57115931WAug 27 · 15:30L. Velebil1.911111113L. Prikasky1.804890
F. Nadymacek10
LSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.00811681F. Nadymacek1.7311711113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100WAug 31 · 17:29F. Nadymacek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10911681LAug 31 · 16:00M. Holub2.501111113F. Nadymacek1.507760WAug 31 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.381011591F. Nadymacek1.5312411113WAug 31 · 14:30F. Nadymacek1.441111113M. Chalupa2.638660WAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek1.8311812123L. Kern1.8331110101WAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek1.83781111113L. Kern1.8311114282
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