TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047772
Played Aug 31Finished
Frantisek Nadymacek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115118711118––
David Szotek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Szotek to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Nadymacek above · David Szotek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held David Szotek at 54.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Nadymacek 3–1 David Szotek David Szotek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:08What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Nadymacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Nadymacek
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nadymacek 1734 vs Szotek 1647
Nadymacek
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadymacek 80% vs Szotek 60%
Nadymacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadymacek 60% vs Szotek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadymacek +2 · Szotek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Nadymacek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadymacek 1.50 / Szotek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Nadymacek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047772
Nadymacek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 17 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Szotek2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 46 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeNadymacek3wins
AwaySzotek1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderNadymacek leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNadymacek66.7%2 of 3
AwaySzotekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nadymacek3Szotek1n = 4Nadymacek took 3 of 4
S2Nadymacek3Szotek1n = 4Nadymacek took 3 of 4
S3Nadymacek1Szotek3n = 4Szotek took 3 of 4
S4Nadymacek3Szotek0n = 3Nadymacek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricNadymacekSzotekN − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.834.0+7.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadymacekSzotekBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 39 vs 167 / 35866.7%46.7%26 / 39 vs 167 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadymacekNadymacek 1.50/Szotek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Nadymacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nadymacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek—11117113D. Szotek—581181
WAug 20 · 16:00F. Nadymacek—315911113D. Szotek—111311442
LAug 10 · 17:04F. Nadymacek—111041192D. Szotek—712117113
WAug 10 · 16:00F. Nadymacek—1111113D. Szotek—6250
F. Nadymacek10
LSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.00811681F. Nadymacek1.7311711113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100LSep 1 · 14:30L. Velebil1.7311911113F. Nadymacek2.00911881WAug 31 · 17:29F. Nadymacek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10911681LAug 31 · 16:00M. Holub2.501111113F. Nadymacek1.507760WAug 31 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.381011591F. Nadymacek1.5312411113WAug 31 · 14:30F. Nadymacek1.441111113M. Chalupa2.638660WAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek1.8311812123L. Kern1.8331110101WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek1.83781111113L. Kern1.8311114282
D. Szotek10
LAug 31 · 13:00D. Szotek1.6761181462M. Chalupa2.101191112113WAug 31 · 11:30D. Szotek1.911111123M. Chalupa1.8098100LAug 31 · 10:30L. Kern1.61741412113D. Szotek2.201111121092WAug 25 · 21:28D. Szotek1.831111113M. Chalupa1.834660LAug 25 · 20:30M. Chalupa1.7311101111113D. Szotek2.0081213772WAug 25 · 19:30D. Szotek1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.207860WAug 25 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.916690D. Szotek1.801111113WAug 25 · 17:30M. Chalupa1.70119119112D. Szotek2.02811611133LAug 25 · 16:00D. Szotek1.5311511682M. Holub2.38911911113WAug 25 · 15:30M. Chalupa1.73512101382D. Szotek2.0011101211113
Upcoming Matches
F. Nadymacek
Nothing scheduled
D. Szotek
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