TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13001850
Played Aug 25Finished
David Szotek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511119611811
Marek Holub
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:29 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Szotek to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Szotek above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held David Szotek at 67.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H David Szotek 3–1 Marek Holub Marek Holub has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Szotek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Szotek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotek 1608 vs Holub 1548
Szotek
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotek 60% vs Holub 40%
Szotek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotek 60% vs Holub 30%
Szotek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotek +1 · Holub +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Szotek) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotek 1.53 / Holub 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Szotek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13001850
Szotek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 40 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it75% 30 of 40
Holub2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSzotek3wins
AwayHolub1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSzotek leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotek100%3 of 3
AwayHolubn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotek3Holub1n = 4Szotek took 3 of 4
S2Szotek3Holub1n = 4Szotek took 3 of 4
S3Szotek1Holub3n = 4Holub took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSzotekHolubS − HBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.234.5+1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotekHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 356 vs 135 / 29045.8%46.6%163 / 356 vs 135 / 290Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotekSzotek 1.53/Holub 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Szotek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 24 · 10:30D. Szotek—1111113M. Holub—5990
LAug 20 · 16:59D. Szotek—7660M. Holub—1111113
WAug 20 · 14:30D. Szotek—111189113M. Holub—88111182
WAug 19 · 20:30D. Szotek—111110113M. Holub—691291
D. Szotek10
LAug 31 · 13:00D. Szotek1.6761181462M. Chalupa2.101191112113LAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181WAug 31 · 11:30D. Szotek1.911111123M. Chalupa1.8098100LAug 31 · 10:30L. Kern1.61741412113D. Szotek2.201111121092WAug 25 · 21:28D. Szotek1.831111113M. Chalupa1.834660LAug 25 · 20:30M. Chalupa1.7311101111113D. Szotek2.0081213772WAug 25 · 19:30D. Szotek1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.207860WAug 25 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.916690D. Szotek1.801111113WAug 25 · 17:30M. Chalupa1.70119119112D. Szotek2.02811611133WAug 25 · 15:30M. Chalupa1.73512101382D. Szotek2.0011101211113
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412LSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172LSep 1 · 21:28M. Holub2.0012991182M. Chalupa1.731011117113WSep 1 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.73131151182M. Holub2.00159117113
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