TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13061081
Played Sep 1Finished
Marek Holub
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210911911117811
Michal Chalupa
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMarek Holub above · Michal Chalupa below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Marek Holub 36–41 Michal Chalupa Marek Holub has won 36 of their 77 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.00 / Chalupa 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chalupa)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13061081
Holub2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Chalupa1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 124 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it92% 45 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it73% 80 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub6wins
AwayChalupa4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHolub leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub100%6 of 6
AwayChalupa100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub6Chalupa4n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S2Holub4Chalupa6n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S3Holub6Chalupa4n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S4Holub3Chalupa4n = 7Chalupa took 4 of 7
S5Holub3Chalupa1n = 4Holub took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubChalupaH − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.339.8+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 303 vs 365 / 69747.5%52.4%144 / 303 vs 365 / 697Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaHolub 2.00/Chalupa 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 20:00M. Holub—159117113M. Chalupa—131151182
LAug 31 · 15:30M. Holub—91070M. Chalupa—1112113
LAug 25 · 14:30M. Holub—10121081M. Chalupa—121012113
LAug 24 · 12:30M. Holub—751111102M. Chalupa—111189123
WAug 19 · 21:00M. Holub—119119113M. Chalupa—81171182
LAug 19 · 19:00M. Holub—8101241M. Chalupa—111210113
WAug 17 · 15:00M. Holub—11111011123M. Chalupa—513128102
WAug 11 · 19:30M. Holub—15115113M. Chalupa—1371191
WAug 8 · 16:59M. Holub—1311113M. Chalupa—11780
WAug 8 · 15:30M. Holub—1111113M. Chalupa—5480
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412LSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172WSep 1 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.73131151182M. Holub2.00159117113WSep 1 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.61141050M. Holub2.201612113
M. Chalupa10
LSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113LSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.5711811113Z. Pagac2.25911481WSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113LSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112WSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172LSep 1 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.73131151182M. Holub2.00159117113
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