TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13079367
Played Sep 4Finished
Roman Hudeczek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012119711114
Michal Chalupa
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · Michal Chalupa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 94 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 28–24 Michal Chalupa Michal Chalupa has won 24 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hudeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-24 in 52
Hudeczek
Correct
gap of 4 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1701 vs Chalupa 1683
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 80% vs Chalupa 60%
Hudeczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 60% vs Chalupa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek +4 · Chalupa +1
Hudeczek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hudeczek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 1.73 / Chalupa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hudeczek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13079367
Hudeczek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 69 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 48 of 64
Chalupa2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 97 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back27% 33 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek6wins
AwayChalupa4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek66.7%2 of 3
AwayChalupa42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek3Chalupa7n = 10Chalupa took 7 of 10
S2Hudeczek5Chalupa5n = 10split evenly
S3Hudeczek5Chalupa5n = 10split evenly
S4Hudeczek5Chalupa4n = 9Hudeczek took 5 of 9
S5Hudeczek3Chalupa0n = 3Hudeczek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekChalupaH − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.940.6+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 338 vs 375 / 71348.8%52.6%165 / 338 vs 375 / 713Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHudeczek 1.73/Chalupa 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—711115113M. Chalupa—11581132
WSep 4 · 14:30R. Hudeczek—11119113M. Chalupa—451171
LSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—7101191M. Chalupa—11129113
LSep 1 · 18:00R. Hudeczek—11790M. Chalupa—1311113
LAug 26 · 18:30R. Hudeczek—117481M. Chalupa—71111113
WAug 25 · 18:00R. Hudeczek—168511113M. Chalupa—141111982
WAug 24 · 17:07R. Hudeczek—41111113M. Chalupa—118591
WAug 24 · 16:30R. Hudeczek—991113143M. Chalupa—1111811122
LAug 21 · 20:58R. Hudeczek—611971M. Chalupa—11611113
WAug 21 · 19:00R. Hudeczek—91711143M. Chalupa—11157121
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113LSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660LSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113LSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.807101191M. Chalupa1.9111129113
M. Chalupa10
WSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113LSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.5711811113Z. Pagac2.25911481WSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113LSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.2511712113M. Chalupa1.574111091LSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113WSep 3 · 21:30M. Chalupa1.52119114113Z. Pagac2.3561181162WSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.807101191M. Chalupa1.9111129113
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