TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071791
Played Sep 4Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191113811117119
Roman Hudeczek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 101 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 54.1%
101 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Pagac 45–37 Roman Hudeczek Roman Hudeczek has won 37 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hudeczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-37 in 82
Pagac
Correct
gap of 8 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pagac 1458 vs Hudeczek 1686
Hudeczek
Wrong
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pagac 20% vs Hudeczek 40%
Hudeczek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pagac 20% vs Hudeczek 50%
Hudeczek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pagac +1 · Hudeczek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hudeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 2.00 / Hudeczek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Hudeczek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071791
Pagac2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 108 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Hudeczek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 69 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 48 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePagac6wins
AwayHudeczek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPagac leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePagac75%3 of 4
AwayHudeczek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pagac4Hudeczek6n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S2Pagac5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pagac4Hudeczek6n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S4Pagac4Hudeczek2n = 6Pagac took 4 of 6
S5Pagac4Hudeczek1n = 5Pagac took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPagacHudeczekP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.239.6−0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 641 vs 164 / 33747%48.7%301 / 641 vs 164 / 337Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekPagac 2.00/Hudeczek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pagac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac—1111811113R. Hudeczek—91311792
LSep 1 · 21:00Z. Pagac—7480R. Hudeczek—1111113
LSep 1 · 20:30Z. Pagac—11118762R. Hudeczek—791111113
WAug 26 · 19:00Z. Pagac—1111113R. Hudeczek—6890
WAug 25 · 21:04Z. Pagac—1111113R. Hudeczek—6660
LAug 25 · 20:00Z. Pagac—104110R. Hudeczek—1211133
WAug 21 · 18:30Z. Pagac—711811123R. Hudeczek—119117102
WAug 21 · 17:29Z. Pagac—7111111113R. Hudeczek—11913892
LAug 21 · 16:00Z. Pagac—7611111R. Hudeczek—11119133
WAug 19 · 15:30Z. Pagac—1091111113R. Hudeczek—12119592
Z. Pagac10
LSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891LSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.5711811113Z. Pagac2.25911481LSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101WSep 4 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.2511712113M. Chalupa1.574111091LSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192LSep 3 · 21:30M. Chalupa1.52119114113Z. Pagac2.3561181162LSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.63811411102M. Chalupa1.44118118123
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113LSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660LSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113LSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.807101191M. Chalupa1.9111129113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Pagac
Nothing scheduled
R. Hudeczek
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