TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065220
Played Sep 3Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91171113111012––
Tomas Kypr
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 84 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kypr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pagac 1471 vs Kypr 1645
Kypr
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pagac 20% vs Kypr 60%
Kypr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pagac 10% vs Kypr 60%
Kypr
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pagac -1 · Kypr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kypr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pagac form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 1.83 / Kypr 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kypr)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065220
Pagac1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kypr1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 633 vs 49 / 9347.2%52.7%299 / 633 vs 49 / 93Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprPagac 1.83/Kypr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kypr won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Pagac10
LSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891LSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.5711811113Z. Pagac2.25911481LSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101WSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.2511712113M. Chalupa1.574111091LSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192LSep 3 · 21:30M. Chalupa1.52119114113Z. Pagac2.3561181162LSep 3 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.63811411102M. Chalupa1.44118118123
T. Kypr10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730WSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.