TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065488
Played Sep 3Finished
Marek Bereiter
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119411811––
Tomas Kypr
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Bereiter above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Marek Bereiter 2–1 Tomas Kypr Tomas Kypr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:58What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kypr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bereiter 1678 vs Kypr 1660
Bereiter
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bereiter 80% vs Kypr 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bereiter 50% vs Kypr 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bereiter +3 · Kypr +1
Bereiter
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kypr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBereiter 2.00 / Kypr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kypr)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065488
Bereiter2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 16 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back44% 7 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Kypr1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 25 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBereiter2wins
AwayKypr1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBereiter leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bereiter1Kypr2n = 3Kypr took 2 of 3
S2Bereiter1Kypr2n = 3Kypr took 2 of 3
S3Bereiter2Kypr1n = 3Bereiter took 2 of 3
S4Bereiter3Kypr0n = 3Bereiter took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBereiterKyprB − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match47.746.7+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBereiterKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 54 vs 47 / 8955.6%52.8%30 / 54 vs 47 / 89Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprBereiter 2.00/Kypr 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 23 · 14:30M. Bereiter—491311113T. Kypr—111111892
WJun 15 · 17:30M. Bereiter—111112113T. Kypr—8131081
LJun 15 · 15:30M. Bereiter—131171182T. Kypr—156118113
M. Bereiter10
LSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113WSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172WSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112LSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161LSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730WSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113
T. Kypr10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133
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