TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081838
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Kypr
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111151141412––
Lukas Martinak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kypr above · Lukas Martinak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 77 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kypr 1–3 Lukas Martinak Tomas Kypr has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:19What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martinak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Martinak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kypr 1718 vs Martinak 1650
Kypr
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kypr 60% vs Martinak 40%
Kypr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kypr 70% vs Martinak 50%
Kypr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kypr +2 · Martinak -3
Martinak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kypr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKypr 2.00 / Martinak 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kypr)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081838
Kypr2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 24 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back44% 11 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Martinak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 50 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it69% 38 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKypr1wins
AwayMartinak3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMartinak leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKyprn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMartinak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kypr0Martinak4n = 4Martinak took 4 of 4
S2Kypr1Martinak3n = 4Martinak took 3 of 4
S3Kypr2Martinak2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricKyprMartinakK − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match31.839.0−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyprMartinakBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 99 vs 146 / 27554.6%53.1%54 / 99 vs 146 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprKypr 2.00/Martinak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr—91111143L. Martinak—1154121
LMay 22 · 16:00T. Kypr—8620L. Martinak—1111113
LMay 8 · 18:30T. Kypr—103111352L. Martinak—1211911113
LMay 8 · 14:30T. Kypr—65130L. Martinak—1111153
T. Kypr10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730WSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142
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