TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081778
Played Sep 5Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112101191214114
Lukas Martinak
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Lukas Martinak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 103 set 5, 11-4
103 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 10–12 Lukas Martinak Adrian Walek has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 1.95 / Martinak 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Martinak)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081778
Walek1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 89 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back35% 30 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Martinak1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 49 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWalek5wins
AwayMartinak5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalek62.5%5 of 8
AwayMartinakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek8Martinak2n = 10Walek took 8 of 10
S2Walek2Martinak8n = 10Martinak took 8 of 10
S3Walek6Martinak4n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S4Walek7Martinak2n = 9Walek took 7 of 9
S5Walek1Martinak4n = 5Martinak took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWalekMartinakW − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.641.1+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekMartinakBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 437 vs 145 / 27051%53.7%223 / 437 vs 145 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakWalek 1.95/Martinak 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 06:00A. Walek—75111162L. Martinak—111153113
WAug 20 · 13:00A. Walek—11911113L. Martinak—911891
LAug 20 · 10:00A. Walek—1112611102L. Martinak—914117123
LAug 3 · 09:10A. Walek—791391L. Martinak—111111113
LAug 3 · 07:30A. Walek—11681182L. Martinak—711113113
WJun 22 · 10:00A. Walek—117124113L. Martinak—911101182
LApr 15 · 13:30A. Walek—11251182L. Martinak—911119113
WApr 15 · 12:30A. Walek—11138113L. Martinak—7111171
WApr 11 · 20:30A. Walek—1111113L. Martinak—3890
WApr 6 · 15:30A. Walek—11911133L. Martinak—6119111
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142
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