TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076329
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117115511311116
Adrian Walek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Walek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Adrian Walek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 81 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Adrian Walek at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 13–12 Adrian Walek Adrian Walek has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:28What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martinak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-12 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1650 vs Walek 1590
Martinak
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 80% vs Walek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 60% vs Walek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak +2 · Walek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.73 / Walek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martinak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076329
Martinak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 50 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it69% 38 of 55
Walek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back36% 33 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartinak6wins
AwayWalek4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMartinak leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak60%3 of 5
AwayWalek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak5Walek5n = 10split evenly
S2Martinak9Walek1n = 10Martinak took 9 of 10
S3Martinak4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S4Martinak3Walek6n = 9Walek took 6 of 9
S5Martinak4Walek3n = 7Martinak took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartinakWalekM − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.741.6+2.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakWalekBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 275 vs 227 / 44653.1%50.9%146 / 275 vs 227 / 446Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.73/Walek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak—11117452A. Walek—661111113
WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak—1111113A. Walek—6770
LSep 5 · 09:00L. Martinak—111091442A. Walek—9121112113
WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak—111153113A. Walek—75111162
LAug 20 · 13:00L. Martinak—911891A. Walek—11911113
WAug 20 · 10:00L. Martinak—914117123A. Walek—1112611102
WAug 3 · 09:10L. Martinak—111111113A. Walek—791391
WAug 3 · 07:30L. Martinak—711113113A. Walek—11681182
LJun 22 · 10:00L. Martinak—911101182A. Walek—117124113
WApr 15 · 13:30L. Martinak—911119113A. Walek—11251182
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113
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