TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059607
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119111118118––
Richard Skacelik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 54.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 8–17 Richard Skacelik Lukas Martinak has won 8 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skacelik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-17 in 25
Skacelik
Wrong
gap of 9 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1628 vs Skacelik 1636
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 40% vs Skacelik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 50% vs Skacelik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak -1 · Skacelik -3
Skacelik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 2.00 / Skacelik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skacelik)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059607
Martinak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 39 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Skacelik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 71 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it68% 50 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartinak3wins
AwaySkacelik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkacelik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkacelik85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak3Skacelik7n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S2Martinak6Skacelik4n = 10Martinak took 6 of 10
S3Martinak3Skacelik7n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S4Martinak5Skacelik4n = 9Martinak took 5 of 9
S5Martinak1Skacelik3n = 4Skacelik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartinakSkacelikM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.742.0−5.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 265 vs 202 / 42753.6%47.3%142 / 265 vs 202 / 427Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikMartinak 2.00/Skacelik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 12:00L. Martinak—11115113R. Skacelik—691191
LAug 15 · 20:30L. Martinak—1291191R. Skacelik—14118113
WJul 31 · 20:30L. Martinak—611129113R. Skacelik—116101172
LJul 30 · 20:30L. Martinak—6121191R. Skacelik—11147113
LJul 17 · 06:30L. Martinak—11371172R. Skacelik—911116113
LJul 11 · 20:00L. Martinak—2750R. Skacelik—1111113
WJul 3 · 17:30L. Martinak—12124113R. Skacelik—10101171
LJul 3 · 14:30L. Martinak—81141182R. Skacelik—114115113
LJul 1 · 06:00L. Martinak—7111131R. Skacelik—11911153
LJun 29 · 09:30L. Martinak—31121182R. Skacelik—116117113
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192LSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142
R. Skacelik10
WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 30 · 17:29D. Heczko2.25111011143R. Skacelik1.579124121WAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:00R. Skacelik1.6711119113D. Heczko2.10391121
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.