TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081864
Played Sep 6Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411115711116611
Daniel Langer
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 83 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Langer at 61.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 2–1 Daniel Langer Daniel Langer has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skacelik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1673 vs Langer 1626
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 20% vs Langer 60%
Langer
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 40% vs Langer 60%
Langer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik +1 · Langer +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.67 / Langer 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skacelik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081864
Skacelik1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 69 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it67% 49 of 73
Langer2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 15 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkacelik2wins
AwayLanger1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSkacelik leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelikn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayLanger33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik0Langer3n = 3Langer took 3 of 3
S2Skacelik3Langer0n = 3Skacelik took 3 of 3
S3Skacelik1Langer2n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
S4Skacelik3Langer0n = 3Skacelik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkacelikLangerS − LBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match45.340.0+5.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 433 vs 100 / 14747.6%68%206 / 433 vs 100 / 147Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.67/Langer 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Skacelik—1411911113D. Langer—16711972
LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik—41171162D. Langer—115116113
WAug 29 · 14:30R. Skacelik—81111113D. Langer—118431
R. Skacelik10
WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 30 · 17:29D. Heczko2.25111011143R. Skacelik1.579124121WAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:00R. Skacelik1.6711119113D. Heczko2.10391121
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971WSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
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