TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082565
Played Sep 6Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113111311811114
Jakub Levicky
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 74 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Daniel Langer at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 2–4 Jakub Levicky Daniel Langer has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Langer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Levicky
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1626 vs Levicky 1668
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 80% vs Levicky 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 70% vs Levicky 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +4 · Levicky -1
Langer
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.67 / Levicky 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Langer)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13082565
Langer1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 82 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it88% 61 of 69
Levicky2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 67 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLanger2wins
AwayLevicky4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevicky leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger66.7%2 of 3
AwayLevicky100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer3Levicky3n = 6split evenly
S2Langer2Levicky4n = 6Levicky took 4 of 6
S3Langer3Levicky3n = 6split evenly
S4Langer0Levicky4n = 4Levicky took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLangerLevickyLanger − LevickyBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match30.032.8−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 147 vs 444 / 87868%50.6%100 / 147 vs 444 / 878Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.67/Levicky 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer—111138113J. Levicky—31111142
WAug 14 · 17:30D. Langer—1111113J. Levicky—8670
LAug 14 · 16:00D. Langer—117861J. Levicky—41111113
LAug 11 · 20:00D. Langer—981121J. Levicky—11113113
LAug 9 · 18:30D. Langer—5640J. Levicky—1111113
LJul 31 · 19:00D. Langer—331191J. Levicky—11117113
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971WSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
J. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113WSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113WSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482WSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113
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