TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13060024
Played Sep 2Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117811911––
Jakub Levicky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 41–46 Jakub Levicky Dominik Oborny has won 41 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Oborny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-46 in 87
Levicky
Correct
gap of 5 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1622 vs Levicky 1598
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 60% vs Levicky 40%
Oborny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny -1 · Levicky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 1.73 / Levicky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oborny)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13060024
Oborny1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 102 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it84% 88 of 105
Levicky2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 68 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOborny4wins
AwayLevicky6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny60%3 of 5
AwayLevicky80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S2Oborny8Levicky2n = 10Oborny took 8 of 10
S3Oborny5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S4Oborny4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S5Oborny0Levicky4n = 4Levicky took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricObornyLevickyO − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.640.2+2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 609 vs 449 / 88551.6%50.7%314 / 609 vs 449 / 885Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyOborny 1.73/Levicky 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny—911891J. Levicky—11711113
LAug 31 · 18:00D. Oborny—117119102J. Levicky—711911123
LAug 19 · 17:00D. Oborny—51111672J. Levicky—117411113
WAug 19 · 14:30D. Oborny—11116123J. Levicky—6911101
LAug 18 · 19:30D. Oborny—1191171J. Levicky—13119113
LAug 6 · 20:58D. Oborny—101111782J. Levicky—129911113
WAug 6 · 19:00D. Oborny—91118113J. Levicky—1121651
LAug 5 · 20:30D. Oborny—11116672J. Levicky—761111113
WAug 3 · 20:59D. Oborny—111110113J. Levicky—761251
WAug 3 · 18:30D. Oborny—111110113J. Levicky—561231
D. Oborny10
WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790WAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko2.0078111152D. Oborny1.73111199113LAug 31 · 20:00D. Oborny1.91411110M. Heczko1.801113133LAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671LAug 31 · 18:00D. Oborny1.80117119102J. Levicky1.91711911123WAug 30 · 17:30D. Oborny1.801111113M. Heczko1.805590
J. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142LSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113WSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113WSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192LSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482WAug 31 · 18:00D. Oborny1.80117119102J. Levicky1.91711911123
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