TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13046924
Played Aug 31Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41111131113––––
Marcel Heczko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 63 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 55.4%
63 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 50–42 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 42 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Heczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-42 in 92
Oborny
Wrong
gap of 8 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1637 vs Heczko 1581
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 60% vs Heczko 40%
Oborny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 60% vs Heczko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny -2 · Heczko -3
Heczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 1.91 / Heczko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heczko)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13046924
Oborny1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 59 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Heczko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 74 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it79% 53 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOborny6wins
AwayHeczko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOborny leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny83.3%5 of 6
AwayHeczko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny6Heczko4n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S2Oborny5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Oborny5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S4Oborny4Heczko4n = 8split evenly
S5Oborny2Heczko1n = 3Oborny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricObornyHeczkoO − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.438.7−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 607 vs 274 / 57051.9%48.1%315 / 607 vs 274 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoOborny 1.91/Heczko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 17:30D. Oborny—1111113M. Heczko—5590
WAug 30 · 14:00D. Oborny—11116113M. Heczko—971181
LAug 22 · 07:30D. Oborny—81141122M. Heczko—116119113
WAug 19 · 20:59D. Oborny—15711113M. Heczko—1311691
WAug 19 · 20:30D. Oborny—1114911113M. Heczko—912111382
LAug 19 · 15:00D. Oborny—66120M. Heczko—1111143
WAug 18 · 21:04D. Oborny—11911113M. Heczko—311971
LAug 18 · 18:00D. Oborny—1189111M. Heczko—41111133
LAug 11 · 08:58D. Oborny—361151M. Heczko—11118113
WAug 11 · 08:00D. Oborny—413117113M. Heczko—111171172
D. Oborny10
WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790WAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko2.0078111152D. Oborny1.73111199113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Milota2.0011611113D. Oborny1.73711671LAug 31 · 18:00D. Oborny1.80117119102J. Levicky1.91711911123WAug 30 · 17:30D. Oborny1.801111113M. Heczko1.805590
M. Heczko10
WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110LAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko2.0078111152D. Oborny1.73111199113LAug 30 · 17:30D. Oborny1.801111113M. Heczko1.805590
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