TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070722
Played Sep 4Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118911118119
Marek Volny
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Volny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Marek Volny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Marek Volny at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 16–8 Marek Volny Marek Volny has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:11What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Heczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-8 in 24
Heczko
Correct
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1546 vs Volny 1556
Volny
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 20% vs Volny 0%
Heczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 30% vs Volny 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -4 · Volny -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.73 / Volny 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Heczko)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070722
Heczko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 77 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 54 of 69
Volny2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 25 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back22% 6 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko7wins
AwayVolny3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko75%3 of 4
AwayVolny33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko4Volny6n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S2Heczko4Volny6n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S3Heczko6Volny4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Heczko8Volny1n = 9Heczko took 8 of 9
S5Heczko4Volny2n = 6Heczko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoVolnyH − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.938.9+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 578 vs 94 / 17947.9%52.5%277 / 578 vs 94 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 1.73/Volny 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 11:00M. Heczko—612811113M. Volny—111011582
LAug 18 · 19:00M. Heczko—881111102M. Volny—111179113
WAug 15 · 21:30M. Heczko—8111111113M. Volny—11139982
WAug 15 · 19:00M. Heczko—111111123M. Volny—1371101
WAug 6 · 21:30M. Heczko—11511113M. Volny—511841
LAug 6 · 19:30M. Heczko—11471192M. Volny—711117113
WAug 2 · 18:30M. Heczko—811511113M. Volny—11911752
LJul 26 · 17:30M. Heczko—9111151M. Volny—11133113
WJul 26 · 16:30M. Heczko—1111113M. Volny—7720
WJul 22 · 20:58M. Heczko—1181011113M. Volny—81112652
M. Heczko10
LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Heczko1.5371111113A. Rinka2.38119471
M. Volny10
LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660LSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 18 · 21:30J. Levicky2.631011132113M. Volny1.44128111192LAug 18 · 20:00D. Oborny2.501111143M. Volny1.5078120WAug 18 · 19:00M. Heczko1.73881111102M. Volny2.00111179113
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