TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070727
Played Sep 4Finished
Marek Volny
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012911––––
Radomir Vavrecka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Volny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Volny above · Radomir Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Marek Volny at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Marek Volny 6–12 Radomir Vavrecka Marek Volny has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-12 in 18
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1524 vs Vavrecka 1462
Volny
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 20% vs Vavrecka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 40% vs Vavrecka 10%
Volny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny -3 · Vavrecka -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.80 / Vavrecka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volny)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070727
Volny1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 64 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it77% 48 of 62
Vavrecka1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 45 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolny2wins
AwayVavrecka8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny33.3%1 of 3
AwayVavrecka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny3Vavrecka7n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S2Volny4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Volny6Vavrecka4n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S4Volny2Vavrecka6n = 8Vavrecka took 6 of 8
S5Volny0Vavrecka3n = 3Vavrecka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolnyVavreckaVolny − VavreckaBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.540.6−3.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 181 vs 138 / 26951.9%51.3%94 / 181 vs 138 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.80/Vavrecka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny—71090R. Vavrecka—1112113
WJul 26 · 14:00M. Volny—11118113R. Vavrecka—161161
LJul 19 · 21:29M. Volny—1113111242R. Vavrecka—815914113
LJul 19 · 18:00M. Volny—611771R. Vavrecka—11811113
LJul 17 · 20:00M. Volny—1011111092R. Vavrecka—124512113
LJul 2 · 20:00M. Volny—471261R. Vavrecka—111110113
LJun 27 · 17:30M. Volny—10780R. Vavrecka—1211113
WJun 27 · 16:30M. Volny—101211113R. Vavrecka—1210991
LJun 9 · 20:30M. Volny—12612882R. Vavrecka—10111011113
LJun 3 · 19:00M. Volny—481181R. Vavrecka—11113113
M. Volny10
LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660LSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 18 · 21:30J. Levicky2.631011132113M. Volny1.44128111192LAug 18 · 20:00D. Oborny2.501111143M. Volny1.5078120WAug 18 · 19:00M. Heczko1.73881111102M. Volny2.00111179113
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230LSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162LAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:30D. Langer1.83111110113R. Vavrecka1.83941281WAug 21 · 08:58O. Hradil1.83691141R. Vavrecka1.8311113113LAug 21 · 08:30R. Vavrecka1.9051151192O. Hradil1.72116114113LAug 21 · 07:00R. Vavrecka1.44414481J. Schwan2.63111211113
Upcoming Matches
M. Volny
Nothing scheduled
R. Vavrecka
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