TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065094
Played Sep 3Finished
Petr Danko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12108119111121113
Marek Volny
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Volny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Danko above · Marek Volny below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 98 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Marek Volny at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Petr Danko 1–3 Marek Volny Petr Danko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Volny
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danko 1613 vs Volny 1644
Volny
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danko 40% vs Volny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danko 60% vs Volny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danko -2 · Volny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanko 1.91 / Volny 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Volny)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065094
Danko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 30 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back35% 16 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Volny1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 63 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDanko1wins
AwayVolny3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderVolny leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danko2Volny2n = 4split evenly
S2Danko1Volny3n = 4Volny took 3 of 4
S3Danko2Volny2n = 4split evenly
S4Danko2Volny1n = 3Danko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricDankoVolnyD − VBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.840.2−0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDankoVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 206 vs 94 / 17450%54%103 / 206 vs 94 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyDanko 1.91/Volny 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko—128911112M. Volny—1011112133
WMay 28 · 16:30P. Danko—11616113M. Volny—6111451
LApr 8 · 13:30P. Danko—41111962M. Volny—117511113
LApr 8 · 11:30P. Danko—6980M. Volny—1111113
P. Danko10
WSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192WSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:30A. Rinka1.9111119472P. Danko1.80281111113LAug 26 · 12:58D. Langer1.831212113P. Danko1.83101050LAug 26 · 12:30P. Danko2.5051090S. Byrtus1.501112113WAug 26 · 11:00P. Danko2.0011117113D. Langer1.73791181LAug 26 · 10:00A. Walek2.00111166113P. Danko1.7359111132WAug 21 · 09:30J. Schwan1.739119101P. Danko2.0011411123LAug 21 · 08:00P. Danko1.9111991462J. Schwan1.807111112113WAug 21 · 07:30O. Hradil1.917720P. Danko1.801111113
M. Volny10
LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660LSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113LAug 18 · 21:30J. Levicky2.631011132113M. Volny1.44128111192LAug 18 · 20:00D. Oborny2.501111143M. Volny1.5078120WAug 18 · 19:00M. Heczko1.73881111102M. Volny2.00111179113
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