TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065112
Played Sep 3Finished
Petr Danko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161191311––––
Marcel Heczko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timePetr Danko to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Danko above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 61 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Petr Danko at 60.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H Petr Danko 10–5 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Danko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Danko
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danko 1613 vs Heczko 1608
Danko
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danko 20% vs Heczko 60%
Heczko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danko 50% vs Heczko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danko -3 · Heczko +2
Danko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Danko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanko 1.57 / Heczko 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Danko)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065112
Danko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Heczko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 66 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanko7wins
AwayHeczko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDanko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanko100%4 of 4
AwayHeczko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danko4Heczko6n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S2Danko7Heczko3n = 10Danko took 7 of 10
S3Danko7Heczko3n = 10Danko took 7 of 10
S4Danko4Heczko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDankoHeczkoD − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.334.5+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDankoHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 206 vs 277 / 57450%48.3%103 / 206 vs 277 / 574Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DankoDanko 1.57/Heczko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.9%
Danko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Danko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 06:30P. Danko—1110115113M. Heczko—81261122
LJun 16 · 14:30P. Danko—711951M. Heczko—11711113
WMay 19 · 12:30P. Danko—81111113M. Heczko—119391
LApr 9 · 09:00P. Danko—4111191M. Heczko—11136113
WApr 9 · 06:00P. Danko—1111123M. Heczko—82100
WApr 8 · 12:00P. Danko—1112113M. Heczko—51090
WFeb 11 · 13:30P. Danko—11114113M. Heczko—481151
WFeb 6 · 09:30P. Danko—1111711113M. Heczko—13711982
WJan 26 · 07:00P. Danko—91111113M. Heczko—115381
LJan 14 · 10:30P. Danko—6913111M. Heczko—111111133
P. Danko10
WSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192WSep 3 · 11:30A. Rinka1.9111119472P. Danko1.80281111113LSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 26 · 12:58D. Langer1.831212113P. Danko1.83101050LAug 26 · 12:30P. Danko2.5051090S. Byrtus1.501112113WAug 26 · 11:00P. Danko2.0011117113D. Langer1.73791181LAug 26 · 10:00A. Walek2.00111166113P. Danko1.7359111132WAug 21 · 09:30J. Schwan1.739119101P. Danko2.0011411123LAug 21 · 08:00P. Danko1.9111991462J. Schwan1.807111112113WAug 21 · 07:30O. Hradil1.917720P. Danko1.801111113
M. Heczko10
LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192WSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Heczko1.5371111113A. Rinka2.38119471
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