TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013838
Played Aug 26Finished
Petr Danko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012911––––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Danko above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 59.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Petr Danko 3–9 Samuel Byrtus Petr Danko has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Byrtus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Byrtus
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danko 1623 vs Byrtus 1660
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danko 60% vs Byrtus 80%
Byrtus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danko 70% vs Byrtus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danko +1 · Byrtus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Byrtus) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanko 2.50 / Byrtus 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Byrtus)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013838
Danko2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 31 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back39% 18 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Byrtus1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 85 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it71% 60 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanko2wins
AwayByrtus8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderByrtus leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanko33.3%1 of 3
AwayByrtus85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danko3Byrtus7n = 10Byrtus took 7 of 10
S2Danko2Byrtus8n = 10Byrtus took 8 of 10
S3Danko2Byrtus8n = 10Byrtus took 8 of 10
S4Danko1Byrtus4n = 5Byrtus took 4 of 5
S5Danko2Byrtus1n = 3Danko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricDankoByrtusD − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.039.0−8.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDankoByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 205 vs 293 / 57250.2%51.2%103 / 205 vs 293 / 572Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusDanko 2.50/Byrtus 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 12:30P. Danko—51090S. Byrtus—1112113
LAug 19 · 10:30P. Danko—10740S. Byrtus—1211113
LAug 14 · 13:04P. Danko—661111122S. Byrtus—111176143
LAug 14 · 12:30P. Danko—51060S. Byrtus—1112113
LJul 16 · 12:30P. Danko—135671S. Byrtus—111111113
LJun 26 · 08:00P. Danko—7570S. Byrtus—1111113
WJun 23 · 09:30P. Danko—511117113S. Byrtus—11981152
LJun 23 · 07:00P. Danko—126871S. Byrtus—101111113
LMay 28 · 17:28P. Danko—5890S. Byrtus—1111113
WMay 28 · 15:30P. Danko—111169113S. Byrtus—57111182
P. Danko10
WSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192WSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:30A. Rinka1.9111119472P. Danko1.80281111113LSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 26 · 12:58D. Langer1.831212113P. Danko1.83101050WAug 26 · 11:00P. Danko2.0011117113D. Langer1.73791181LAug 26 · 10:00A. Walek2.00111166113P. Danko1.7359111132WAug 21 · 09:30J. Schwan1.739119101P. Danko2.0011411123LAug 21 · 08:00P. Danko1.9111991462J. Schwan1.807111112113WAug 21 · 07:30O. Hradil1.917720P. Danko1.801111113
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133
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