TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058040
Played Sep 1Finished
Josef Cabak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11512107111618711
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Cabak above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 16-18
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 108 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Josef Cabak 8–10 Samuel Byrtus Josef Cabak has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Cabak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Byrtus
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabak 1623 vs Byrtus 1671
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabak 40% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabak 40% vs Byrtus 70%
Byrtus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabak +1 · Byrtus +3
Byrtus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cabak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabak form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabak 1.80 / Byrtus 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cabak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058040
Cabak1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 49 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Byrtus1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 75 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCabak7wins
AwayByrtus3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCabak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabak77.8%7 of 9
AwayByrtusn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabak9Byrtus1n = 10Cabak took 9 of 10
S2Cabak6Byrtus4n = 10Cabak took 6 of 10
S3Cabak4Byrtus6n = 10Byrtus took 6 of 10
S4Cabak5Byrtus3n = 8Cabak took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabakByrtusC − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.035.0+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabakByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 187 vs 304 / 58753.5%51.8%100 / 187 vs 304 / 587Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabakCabak 1.80/Byrtus 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cabak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak—11117113S. Byrtus—651171
LAug 27 · 06:00J. Cabak—116681S. Byrtus—71111113
LAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak—112781S. Byrtus—81111113
WAug 14 · 10:30J. Cabak—131011113S. Byrtus—1112681
WAug 13 · 08:00J. Cabak—1211810113S. Byrtus—109111282
WAug 7 · 09:30J. Cabak—1111113S. Byrtus—6780
WAug 7 · 08:30J. Cabak—1111113S. Byrtus—9860
WJul 27 · 07:00J. Cabak—11115113S. Byrtus—971161
LJul 10 · 09:30J. Cabak—47111192S. Byrtus—111166113
WJul 10 · 08:30J. Cabak—11124113S. Byrtus—6101141
J. Cabak10
WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171LSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak1.5711911113J. Cabak2.25911811LAug 27 · 08:59A. Walek2.00117114123J. Cabak1.73511311102WAug 27 · 08:30J. Cabak1.73981111113A. Walek2.0011115382LAug 27 · 07:00J. Cabak1.7349111122D. Heczko2.00111196113LAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 09:00J. Cabak1.73121411113A. Walek2.001412691LAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak1.61112781S. Byrtus2.2081111113WAug 25 · 07:00J. Cabak1.801111113A. Walek1.917970
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113WAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak1.61112781S. Byrtus2.2081111113
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