TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052436
Played Sep 1Finished
Josef Cabak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171151412––––
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeJosef Cabak to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Cabak above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 60 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Josef Cabak at 64.6%
60 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:09What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Snr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Cabak 1609 vs Snr 1610
Snr
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabak 40% vs Snr 20%
Cabak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabak 40% vs Snr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabak +1 · Snr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cabak) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabak 1.83 / Snr 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cabak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052436
Cabak1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Snr1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabakSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 186 vs 119 / 23453.2%50.9%99 / 186 vs 119 / 234Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabakCabak 1.83/Snr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cabak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cabak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Cabak10
LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171LSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak1.5711911113J. Cabak2.25911811LAug 27 · 08:59A. Walek2.00117114123J. Cabak1.73511311102WAug 27 · 08:30J. Cabak1.73981111113A. Walek2.0011115382LAug 27 · 07:00J. Cabak1.7349111122D. Heczko2.00111196113LAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 09:00J. Cabak1.73121411113A. Walek2.001412691LAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak1.61112781S. Byrtus2.2081111113WAug 25 · 07:00J. Cabak1.801111113A. Walek1.917970
J. Snr10
WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971LSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271WSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr1.8011112113L. Martinak1.91691171LSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770LJul 31 · 21:00R. Skacelik2.00114211113J. Snr1.7351111792LJul 31 · 20:00J. Snr1.509121791T. Petrek2.50111019113LJul 31 · 19:30R. Skacelik2.1011117113J. Snr1.67851191
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