TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051404
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911118111––
Josef Cabak
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Josef Cabak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 71 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Lukas Martinak at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 3–0 Josef Cabak Josef Cabak has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Martinak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Martinak
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1680 vs Cabak 1626
Martinak
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 40% vs Cabak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 40% vs Cabak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak +1 · Cabak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Martinak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinak form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.57 / Cabak 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Martinak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051404
Martinak1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 49 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Cabak2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMartinak3wins
AwayCabak0wins
Martinak leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak100%3 of 3
AwayCabakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak3Cabak0n = 3Martinak took 3 of 3
S2Martinak2Cabak1n = 3Martinak took 2 of 3
S3Martinak3Cabak0n = 3Martinak took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMartinakCabakM − CBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match37.727.3+10.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakCabakBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 267 vs 100 / 18853.9%53.2%144 / 267 vs 100 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.57/Cabak 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak—11911113J. Cabak—911811
WFeb 24 · 12:30L. Martinak—1314113J. Cabak—111270
WSep 17 · 07:30L. Martinak—1111113J. Cabak—9770
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881
J. Cabak10
LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171LAug 27 · 08:59A. Walek2.00117114123J. Cabak1.73511311102WAug 27 · 08:30J. Cabak1.73981111113A. Walek2.0011115382LAug 27 · 07:00J. Cabak1.7349111122D. Heczko2.00111196113LAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 09:00J. Cabak1.73121411113A. Walek2.001412691LAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak1.61112781S. Byrtus2.2081111113WAug 25 · 07:00J. Cabak1.801111113A. Walek1.917970
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