TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003437
Played Aug 25Finished
Josef Cabak
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118211711811––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:01 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeJosef Cabak to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Cabak above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Josef Cabak at 59.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Josef Cabak 7–9 Samuel Byrtus Josef Cabak has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:01What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Cabak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Byrtus
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabak 1606 vs Byrtus 1645
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabak 40% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabak 60% vs Byrtus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabak +1 · Byrtus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Cabak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabak 1.61 / Byrtus 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Cabak)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003437
Cabak1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 48 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Byrtus2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 71 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back26% 22 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCabak6wins
AwayByrtus4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCabak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabak75%6 of 8
AwayByrtusn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabak8Byrtus2n = 10Cabak took 8 of 10
S2Cabak5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S3Cabak4Byrtus6n = 10Byrtus took 6 of 10
S4Cabak4Byrtus3n = 7Cabak took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabakByrtusC − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.335.8+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabakByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 179 vs 290 / 56753.6%51.2%96 / 179 vs 290 / 567Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabakCabak 1.61/Byrtus 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Cabak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak—112781S. Byrtus—81111113
WAug 14 · 10:30J. Cabak—131011113S. Byrtus—1112681
WAug 13 · 08:00J. Cabak—1211810113S. Byrtus—109111282
WAug 7 · 09:30J. Cabak—1111113S. Byrtus—6780
WAug 7 · 08:30J. Cabak—1111113S. Byrtus—9860
WJul 27 · 07:00J. Cabak—11115113S. Byrtus—971161
LJul 10 · 09:30J. Cabak—47111192S. Byrtus—111166113
WJul 10 · 08:30J. Cabak—11124113S. Byrtus—6101141
LJul 1 · 10:00J. Cabak—3890S. Byrtus—1111113
LJun 22 · 07:30J. Cabak—1161161S. Byrtus—91113113
J. Cabak10
LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171LSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak1.5711911113J. Cabak2.25911811LAug 27 · 08:59A. Walek2.00117114123J. Cabak1.73511311102WAug 27 · 08:30J. Cabak1.73981111113A. Walek2.0011115382LAug 27 · 07:00J. Cabak1.7349111122D. Heczko2.00111196113LAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 09:00J. Cabak1.73121411113A. Walek2.001412691WAug 25 · 07:00J. Cabak1.801111113A. Walek1.917970
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113WAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.