TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051436
Played Sep 1Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 66.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 2–1 Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:25What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Snr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1586 vs Snr 1586
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 60% vs Snr 0%
Byrtus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 60% vs Snr 30%
Byrtus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus +1 · Snr -5
Snr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Snr) · live re-read · sealed at 33% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 2.00 / Snr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Snr)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051436
Byrtus2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 78 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Snr1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 59 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it72% 44 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeByrtus2wins
AwaySnr1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderByrtus leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Byrtus2Snr1n = 3Byrtus took 2 of 3
S2Byrtus3Snr0n = 3Byrtus took 3 of 3
S3Byrtus2Snr1n = 3Byrtus took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricByrtusSnrB − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.333.7+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 584 vs 119 / 23651.2%50.4%299 / 584 vs 119 / 236Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrByrtus 2.00/Snr 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus—1111113J. Snr—8770
WMay 21 · 13:00S. Byrtus—11118113J. Snr—651181
LMay 21 · 11:30S. Byrtus—811117102J. Snr—118711123
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133LAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121
J. Snr10
WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971LSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271LSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr1.8011112113L. Martinak1.91691171LJul 31 · 21:00R. Skacelik2.00114211113J. Snr1.7351111792LJul 31 · 20:00J. Snr1.509121791T. Petrek2.50111019113LJul 31 · 19:30R. Skacelik2.1011117113J. Snr1.67851191
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