TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076328
Played Sep 5Finished
David Heczko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111513119117––
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeDavid Heczko to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 84 set 4, 11-7 — our read held David Heczko at 66.2%
84 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 1–1 Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Heczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1643 vs Snr 1617
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Snr 20%
Heczko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 70% vs Snr 20%
Heczko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko +2 · Snr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.67 / Snr 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Heczko)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076328
Heczko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 104 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Snr2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 31 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHeczko1wins
AwaySnr1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHeczkoSnrH − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.042.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 468 vs 122 / 24055.1%50.8%258 / 468 vs 122 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 1.67/Snr 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko—139281J. Snr—111111113
WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko—71511113J. Snr—1113971
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
J. Snr10
WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271LSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr1.8011112113L. Martinak1.91691171LSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770LJul 31 · 21:00R. Skacelik2.00114211113J. Snr1.7351111792LJul 31 · 20:00J. Snr1.509121791T. Petrek2.50111019113LJul 31 · 19:30R. Skacelik2.1011117113J. Snr1.67851191
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