TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077451
Played Sep 5Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12141181210117––
David Heczko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Walek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 85 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Adrian Walek at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 19–20 David Heczko Adrian Walek has won 19 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:12What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-20 in 39
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Walek 1590 vs Heczko 1643
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 60% vs Heczko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 70% vs Heczko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek -2 · Heczko +3
Heczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 2.10 / Heczko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Heczko)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077451
Walek2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back36% 33 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Heczko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 104 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWalek6wins
AwayHeczko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWalek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalek80%4 of 5
AwayHeczko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S2Walek5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Walek6Heczko4n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S4Walek5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S5Walek2Heczko1n = 3Walek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWalekHeczkoW − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.541.2+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 446 vs 258 / 46850.9%55.1%227 / 446 vs 258 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoWalek 2.10/Heczko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 10:30A. Walek—11117113D. Heczko—871151
WSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek—121112113D. Heczko—1481071
WSep 2 · 14:00A. Walek—111111113D. Heczko—135591
WAug 27 · 06:30A. Walek—111113113D. Heczko—7131181
LAug 25 · 08:00A. Walek—9111181D. Heczko—11138113
WAug 24 · 09:28A. Walek—119116133D. Heczko—711911112
LAug 24 · 08:00A. Walek—1011751D. Heczko—12811113
LAug 23 · 10:00A. Walek—611118102D. Heczko—114811123
LAug 20 · 12:30A. Walek—1391181D. Heczko—111113113
WAug 19 · 08:00A. Walek—1171011113D. Heczko—91112492
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
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