TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077552
Played Sep 5Finished
Marek Bereiter
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14128118111181311
David Heczko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Heczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Bereiter above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 107 set 5, 13-11 — our read held David Heczko at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Marek Bereiter 1–1 David Heczko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bereiter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bereiter 1635 vs Heczko 1697
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bereiter 40% vs Heczko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bereiter 60% vs Heczko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bereiter -1 · Heczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bereiter) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bereiter form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBereiter 1.53 / Heczko 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Bereiter)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077552
Bereiter1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 13 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Heczko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 57 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBereiter1wins
AwayHeczko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBereiterHeczkoB − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.029.5+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBereiterHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 58 vs 258 / 46653.5%55.4%31 / 58 vs 258 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BereiterBereiter 1.53/Heczko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Bereiter · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bereiter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 2 · 06:30M. Bereiter—1111113D. Heczko—4660
LJun 13 · 07:00M. Bereiter—812891D. Heczko—111011113
M. Bereiter10
LSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113WSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172WSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161LSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730LSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
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