Tomas Kypr vs Marek Bereiter 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13081849

Played Sep 6Finished

Tomas Kypr

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

7111191012811––

Marek Bereiter

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%

Graded at full time

Tomas Kypr to win

55.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingTomas Kypr above · Marek Bereiter below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 55.2%

79 points played in total.

H2H Tomas Kypr 3–2 Marek Bereiter Marek Bereiter has won 2 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 3–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 09:18

What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Kypr

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

3-2 in 5

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kypr 1700 vs Bereiter 1725

Bereiter

Correct

both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kypr 80% vs Bereiter 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kypr 70% vs Bereiter 70%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kypr +4 · Bereiter +4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kypr) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bereiter form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKypr 1.73 / Bereiter 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Kypr)+0.4pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13081849

Kypr1.73

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite56% won 28 of 50

Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it83% 24 of 29

Bereiter2.00

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog52% won 17 of 33

Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19

Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeKypr3wins

AwayBereiter2wins

2 of 5 to a deciderKypr leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKypr75%3 of 4

AwayBereitern = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kypr4Bereiter1n = 5Kypr took 4 of 5

S2Kypr3Bereiter2n = 5Kypr took 3 of 5

S3Kypr3Bereiter2n = 5Kypr took 3 of 5

S4Kypr1Bereiter3n = 4Bereiter took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home120%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home120%

2–3Decider, away120%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 5 meetings

MetricKyprBereiterK − BBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match43.038.0+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKyprBereiterBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 97 vs 35 / 6254.6%56.5%53 / 97 vs 35 / 62Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kypr

Kypr 1.73/Bereiter 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.1%

Kypr · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Bereiter won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr—1111113M. Bereiter—9730

WSep 3 · 16:00T. Kypr—11911113M. Bereiter—511481

LAug 23 · 14:30T. Kypr—111111892M. Bereiter—491311113

LJun 15 · 17:30T. Kypr—8131081M. Bereiter—111112113

WJun 15 · 15:30T. Kypr—156118113M. Bereiter—131171182

T. Kypr10

WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113 WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153 WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121 WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113 WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123 LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133 LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970 WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730 WSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113 WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133

M. Bereiter10

LSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113 WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113 WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172 WSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113 WSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112 LSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070 WSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161 LSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730 LSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113 WSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113

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