TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086726
Played Sep 6Finished
Marek Bereiter
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Tomas Kypr
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Bereiter to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Bereiter above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Marek Bereiter at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Marek Bereiter 3–3 Tomas Kypr Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bereiter
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bereiter 1736 vs Kypr 1689
Bereiter
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bereiter 100% vs Kypr 80%
Bereiter
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bereiter 70% vs Kypr 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bereiter +5 · Kypr -1
Bereiter
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bereiter)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBereiter 1.80 / Kypr 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bereiter)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086726
Bereiter1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 16 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Kypr1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 22 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back42% 10 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBereiter3wins
AwayKypr3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBereitern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKypr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bereiter2Kypr4n = 6Kypr took 4 of 6
S2Bereiter2Kypr4n = 6Kypr took 4 of 6
S3Bereiter3Kypr3n = 6split evenly
S4Bereiter4Kypr1n = 5Bereiter took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBereiterKyprB − KBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match38.841.8−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBereiterKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 63 vs 53 / 9857.1%54.1%36 / 63 vs 53 / 98Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BereiterBereiter 1.80/Kypr 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bereiter · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 6 · 08:00M. Bereiter—11912113T. Kypr—7111081
LSep 3 · 17:29M. Bereiter—9730T. Kypr—1111113
LSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter—511481T. Kypr—11911113
WAug 23 · 14:30M. Bereiter—491311113T. Kypr—111111892
WJun 15 · 17:30M. Bereiter—111112113T. Kypr—8131081
LJun 15 · 15:30M. Bereiter—131171182T. Kypr—156118113
M. Bereiter10
WSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172WSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112LSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161LSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730LSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113
T. Kypr10
LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730WSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133
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