TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076330
Played Sep 5Finished
Marek Bereiter
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1513112811116––
Daniel Langer
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Bereiter above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Daniel Langer at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:28What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bereiter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Bereiter 1651 vs Langer 1559
Bereiter
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bereiter 60% vs Langer 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bereiter 50% vs Langer 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bereiter -2 · Langer +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bereiter) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBereiter 1.53 / Langer 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Bereiter)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076330
Bereiter1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 13 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Langer2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 14 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back35% 6 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBereiterLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 56 vs 95 / 13953.6%68.4%30 / 56 vs 95 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BereiterBereiter 1.53/Langer 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Bereiter · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bereiter won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Bereiter10
LSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113WSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172WSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112LSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070LSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730LSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971WSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
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