TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13066107
Played Sep 2Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
1.61
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116511511811––
Daniel Langer
Away
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:59 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeAdrian Walek to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 68 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Adrian Walek at 59.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 2–0 Daniel Langer Daniel Langer has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (56%)
Walek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Walek 1680 vs Langer 1558
Walek
Wrong
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 100% vs Langer 60%
Walek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 70% vs Langer 40%
Walek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek +5 · Langer -1
Walek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Walek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 1.61 / Langer 2.05
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Walek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13066107
Walek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite47% won 70 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it68% 52 of 77
Langer2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 11 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back33% 5 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWalek2wins
AwayLanger0wins
Walek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWalekLangerW − LBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.034.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 437 vs 94 / 13851.3%68.1%224 / 437 vs 94 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalekWalek 1.61/Langer 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Walek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek—11911113D. Langer—711971
WAug 26 · 12:00A. Walek—111111113D. Langer—851381
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971WSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
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