TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077441
Played Sep 5Finished
David Heczko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711117511––
Adrian Walek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Walek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Adrian Walek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Adrian Walek at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 20–19 Adrian Walek Adrian Walek has won 19 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:10What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-19 in 39
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1643 vs Walek 1650
Walek
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Walek 40%
Heczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 60% vs Walek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -1 · Walek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.61 / Walek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Heczko)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077441
Heczko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 103 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 77 of 102
Walek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 89 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back35% 30 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko4wins
AwayWalek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWalek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko60%3 of 5
AwayWalek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko5Walek5n = 10split evenly
S2Heczko5Walek5n = 10split evenly
S3Heczko4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S4Heczko5Walek5n = 10split evenly
S5Heczko1Walek2n = 3Walek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoWalekH − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.243.5−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoWalekBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 468 vs 226 / 44255.1%51.1%258 / 468 vs 226 / 442Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 1.61/Walek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko—871151A. Walek—11117113
LSep 5 · 07:00D. Heczko—1481071A. Walek—121112113
LSep 2 · 14:00D. Heczko—135591A. Walek—111111113
LAug 27 · 06:30D. Heczko—7131181A. Walek—111113113
WAug 25 · 08:00D. Heczko—11138113A. Walek—9111181
LAug 24 · 09:28D. Heczko—711911112A. Walek—119116133
WAug 24 · 08:00D. Heczko—12811113A. Walek—1011751
WAug 23 · 10:00D. Heczko—114811123A. Walek—611118102
WAug 20 · 12:30D. Heczko—111113113A. Walek—1391181
LAug 19 · 08:00D. Heczko—91112492A. Walek—1171011113
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071
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